Paper-trading monitor
Trade Guard
Your active watch setups, explained in plain language.
Telegram replies: Listening
Realized profit/loss: $-5.00
Completed trades: 1 / 30 for initial review
SPY: closed (entry $0.12); SPY: void (entry $0.16)
SPY: filled; SPY: void
Reply GO TICKER to a fresh Telegram alert. Reply STATUS to check. Simulated fills use Alpaca indicative option quotes.
Historical stock-signal test
2026-05-13 through 2026-11-08 · 114 trades
All dates: -6.997R total; 51.7544% positive; -0.0614R average; 9.7157R maximum drawdown.
Newest 30% holdout: 35 trades; -0.8012R total.
Options P&L is excluded. R measures the stock setup relative to its failure distance. This test does not include historical option prices, news/event filters, or your Telegram response time.
| Stock | Trades | Positive | Total R |
|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | 8 | 75% | 2.8275R |
| AMD | 5 | 60% | -0.497R |
| AMZN | 13 | 46.1538% | 0.2278R |
| META | 6 | 16.6667% | -2.8356R |
| MSFT | 8 | 37.5% | -1.3976R |
| NVDA | 21 | 47.619% | -2.5508R |
| QQQ | 53 | 56.6038% | -2.7713R |
Daily tech scan
Live decision: NO TRADE. IEX-only stock data; Indicative, non-executable option quotes; Scheduled catalysts not independently verified; Robinhood positions and orders not reconciled; Current strategy not validated for live options fills.
Outside market scan hours · Updated 2026-11-13T11:10:06.592439+00:00
QQQ · NVDA · AMD · MSFT · AAPL · AMZN · META. Up = calls; down = puts; wait = no entry. One new paper trade per day.
| Stock | Direction | Bar close | Opening range | Target | Failure | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QQQ | wait | 687.75 | 680–688.07 | — | — | Choppy / inside opening rangeResearchRelative strength vs QQQ: 0E-27 percentage points. Yesterday: 683.6–695.57; premarket: 680.26–682.12. Nvidia Crisis – Visionary Huang’s Resignation Puts America's AI Advantage at Risk; Gold Falls Below $4000 No qualifying contract selected |
| NVDA | wait | 165.455 | 148.8–162.32 | — | — | Opening range too wide; skipResearchRelative strength vs QQQ: 8.479055044008712423231342100 percentage points. Yesterday: 170.88–177.515; premarket: 150.3–160.03. Short Seller Flagged Nvidia China Worries Months Ago: Here’s How Much Stock Has Fallen Since No qualifying contract selected |
| AMD | wait | 582.52 | 555.05–578.4 | — | — | Opening range too wide; skipResearchRelative strength vs QQQ: 1.388525853927238981511681800 percentage points. Yesterday: 522.87–567.615; premarket: 553.03–575.44. Jensen Huang Scandal Widens: Former Nvidia CEO Linked to Second Employee No qualifying contract selected |
| MSFT | wait | 522.28 | 520.59–525.8 | — | — | Choppy / inside opening rangeResearchRelative strength vs QQQ: -1.032073510393463544423623000 percentage points. Yesterday: 518.535–534.5; premarket: 518–523.38. Workday CEO Admits He’s ‘Absolutely’ Worried About AI Job Displacement — Says ‘Yes,’ Companies Will Want to Replace Humans for Less No qualifying contract selected |
| AAPL | down | 354.91 | 356.02–358.88 | 351.73 | 358.88 | Waiting for break and retestResearchRelative strength vs QQQ: -2.019530894048574031116916390 percentage points. Yesterday: 349.325–355.9; premarket: 356.99–358.43. Wall Street Takes the Chainsaw to Nvidia Targets: One Bank Slashes $465 to $186 No qualifying contract selected |
| AMZN | down | 267.51 | 267.86–272.45 | 260.98 | 272.45 | Waiting for break and retestResearchRelative strength vs QQQ: -1.287609801660357394367589700 percentage points. Yesterday: 265.64–274.86; premarket: 263.99–270.66. Workday CEO Admits He’s ‘Absolutely’ Worried About AI Job Displacement — Says ‘Yes,’ Companies Will Want to Replace Humans for Less No qualifying contract selected |
| META | wait | 622.16 | 621.845–630.32 | — | — | Choppy / inside opening rangeResearchRelative strength vs QQQ: -1.634227321926047947263881870 percentage points. Yesterday: 628.145–648.38; premarket: 624.71–628.28. EXCLUSIVE: Google, Microsoft ‘Fail to Sway’ Democrats With AI Power Pledge No qualifying contract selected |
Headline screening does not verify a complete earnings or economic calendar. Option selection checks indicative bid/ask, volume, delta, and the $150 risk limit including assumed fees.